MLB / mlb / live
STL 8 / CHC 4STLSt. Louis Cardinals37%
CHCChicago Cubs63%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline63%Model 20260810_auto
CHCHome starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
STL37%ML +160
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
CHC63%ML -190
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael McGreevySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +111 draftkings / U -125 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.554%over
O 4.535%over
O 5.520%over
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Matthew BoydCHC starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -112 draftkings / U -104 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%under
O 3.563%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+160 / -190STL / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+103)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -116
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total