MLB / mlb / live
LAD 6 / CHC 7LADLos Angeles Dodgers43%
CHCChicago Cubs57%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterEric LauerConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline57%Model 20260803_auto
CHCHome starterShota ImanagaConfirmed
LAD43%ML +101
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
CHC57%ML -119
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eric LauerLAD starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -104 fanduel / U -115 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%under
O 2.570%under
O 3.549%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -124 betrivers / U +110 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.559%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+101 / -119LAD / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -108 / U -113
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total