MLB / mlb / live
LAD 5 / CHC 10LADLos Angeles Dodgers52%
CHCChicago Cubs48%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterJustin WrobleskiConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
CHCHome starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
LAD52%ML -125
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
CHC48%ML +106
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Justin WrobleskiLAD starter / away
Projected K5.2Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +102 fanduel / U -127 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.559%under
O 5.542%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Matthew BoydCHC starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -138 draftkings / U +110 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.534%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-125 / +106LAD / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -113 / U -106
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total