MLB / mlb / live
MIN 2 / CHC 6MINMinnesota Twins49%
CHCChicago Cubs51%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterTaj BradleyConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline51%Model 20260713_auto
CHCHome starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
MIN49%ML +131
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
CHC51%ML -157
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Taj BradleyMIN starter / away
Projected K5.7Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -140 fanduel / U +125 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.566%over
O 5.549%over
O 6.534%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Matthew BoydCHC starter / home
Projected K5.4Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -153 draftkings / U +126 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 4.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%under
O 5.544%under
O 6.530%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+131 / -157MIN / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total