MLB / mlb / live
LAA 6 / BOS 4LAALos Angeles Angels39%
BOSBoston Red Sox61%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline61%Model 20260907_auto
BOSHome starterJake BennettConfirmed
LAA39%ML +180
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
BOS61%ML -220
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +105 betrivers / U -125 betmgm8 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%over
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Jake BennettBOS starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 betonlineag / U -133 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%under
O 3.573%under
O 4.557%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+180 / -220LAA / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total