MLB / mlb / live
OAK 4 / BOS 3OAKOakland Athletics37%
BOSBoston Red Sox63%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJ.T. GinnConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline63%Model 20260803_auto
BOSHome starterErik MillerConfirmed
OAK37%ML +188
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
BOS63%ML -225
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.7
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
J.T. GinnOAK starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 betrivers / U -120 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%under
O 3.565%under
O 4.547%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Erik MillerBOS starter / home
Projected K2.1Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.561%over
O 2.534%under
O 3.516%under
O 4.56%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+188 / -225OAK / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-114)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -102 / U -120
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total