MLB / mlb / live
CHW 2 / BOS 14CHWChicago White Sox47%
BOSBoston Red Sox53%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterDavis MartinConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
BOSHome starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
CHW47%ML +125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
BOS53%ML -148
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Davis MartinCHW starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 fanatics / U -150 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 4.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%under
O 2.571%under
O 3.551%under
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -105 betmgm / U +102 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%under
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -148CHW / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -107 / U -113
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total