MLB / mlb / live
TBR 3 / BOS 5TBRTampa Bay Rays52%
BOSBoston Red Sox48%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterMason EnglertConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline52%Model 20260713_auto
BOSHome starterEduardo RiveraConfirmed
TBR52%ML +110
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
BOS48%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Mason EnglertTBR starter / away
Projected K3.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +126 fanduel / U -162 fanduel2 books at this line
Model over 4.525%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.564%over
O 3.543%over
O 4.525%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Eduardo RiveraBOS starter / home
Projected K3.2Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +102 betrivers / U -115 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%over
O 2.561%over
O 3.539%under
O 4.522%under
O 5.511%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130TBR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML22 run line23 total