MLB / mlb / live
TBR 4 / BOS 1TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterNick Martinez
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterPayton Tolle
TBR42%ML +113
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
BOS58%ML -134
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+113 / -134TBR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -116 / U -106
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total