MLB / mlb / live
TBR 4 / BOS 1TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterNick Martinez
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterPayton Tolle
TBR42%ML +113
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
BOS58%ML -134
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+113 / -134TBR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -116 / U -106
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total