MLB / mlb / live
TBR 8 / BOS 4TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterGriffin Jax
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterJake Bennett
TBR42%ML -104
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
BOS58%ML -115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-104 / -115TBR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -118
32 books30 ML25 run line21 total