MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays47%
BALBaltimore Orioles53%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterTrey YesavageProbable
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260914_auto
BALHome starterShane BazProbable
TOR47%ML -108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
BAL53%ML -111
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.6
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Trey YesavageTOR starter / away
Projected K4.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.562%
O 4.543%
O 5.527%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane BazBAL starter / home
Projected K4.2
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.578%
O 3.560%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-108 / -111TOR / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-187)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -112 / U -109
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total