MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCLECleveland Guardians42%
BALBaltimore Orioles58%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterFoster GriffinProbable
Model pickBAL moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
BALHome starterShane BazProbable
CLE42%ML -109
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
BAL58%ML -110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Foster GriffinCLE starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.582%
O 3.566%
O 4.547%
O 5.531%
O 6.518%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane BazBAL starter / home
Projected K5.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.572%
O 4.555%
O 5.538%
O 6.524%
O 7.514%
O 8.57%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-109 / -110CLE / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -117
30 books29 ML23 run line21 total