MLB / mlb / live
BOS 6 / BAL 5BOSBoston Red Sox45%
BALBaltimore Orioles55%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterJake BennettConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline55%Model 20260831_auto
BALHome starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
BOS45%ML -122
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
BAL55%ML +103
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jake BennettBOS starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -145 fanatics / U +115 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Brandon YoungBAL starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -147 betonlineag / U +120 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 3.568%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-122 / +103BOS / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total