MLB / mlb / live
LAA 1 / BAL 3LAALos Angeles Angels47%
BALBaltimore Orioles53%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
BALHome starterCade PovichConfirmed
LAA47%ML +130
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
BAL53%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betmgm / U -139 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.526%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%over
O 5.526%over
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Cade PovichBAL starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -125 betrivers / U +106 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.544%over
O 5.528%over
O 6.516%over
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+130 / -152LAA / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -112 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total