MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPHIPhiladelphia Phillies51%
BALBaltimore Orioles49%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterCristopher SánchezProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
BALHome starterShane BazProbable
PHI51%ML -150
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
BAL49%ML +126
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / away
Projected K6.6
Best price at 7.57.5O +124 fanduel / U -143 betrivers3 books at this line
Model over 7.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.577%
O 5.563%
O 6.548%
O 7.534%
O 8.523%
O 9.514%
O 10.58%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane BazBAL starter / home
Projected K5.4
Best price at 5.55.5O +110 bovada / U -130 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.589%
O 3.577%
O 4.562%
O 5.545%
O 6.530%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-150 / +126PHI / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-133)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total