MLB / mlb / live
KCR 1 / BAL 6KCRKansas City Royals47%
BALBaltimore Orioles53%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterNoah CameronConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
BALHome starterKyle BradishConfirmed
KCR47%ML +135
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
BAL53%ML -161
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Noah CameronKCR starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betonlineag / U -146 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.540%over
O 6.526%over
O 7.515%over
O 8.58%over
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Kyle BradishBAL starter / home
Projected K5.4Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +110 bovada / U -133 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.562%over
O 5.545%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+135 / -161KCR / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+133)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total