MLB / mlb / live
SEA 6 / BAL 5SEASeattle Mariners55%
BALBaltimore Orioles45%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLogan Gilbert
Model pickSEA moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrevor Rogers
SEA55%ML -122
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
BAL45%ML +103
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-122 / +103SEA / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total