MLB / mlb / live
DET 4 / BAL 1DETDetroit Tigers46%
BALBaltimore Orioles54%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterTroy Melton
Model pickBAL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrevor Rogers
DET46%ML +110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
BAL54%ML -130
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#12
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-timeN/A
Brandon Young has 10 starts but null ERA/IP/WHIP—uninterpretable. Valdez 1.50 ERA in only 6.0 IP is a 1-start fragment, not actionable. Market data missing so no odds anchor. DET offense anemic (2.3 RPG, .582 OPS) but without reliable pitcher baseline I can't form a view on either side or total.
market data missing
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130DET / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -108
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total