MLB / mlb / live
NYY 6 / BAL 2NYYNew York Yankees59%
BALBaltimore Orioles41%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterWill Warren
Model pickNYY moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrevor Rogers
NYY59%ML -164
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
BAL41%ML +138
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.5
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-164 / +138NYY / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
31 books30 ML22 run line22 total