MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / BAL 10HOUHouston Astros43%
BALBaltimore Orioles57%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterPeter Lambert
Model pickBAL moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterChris Bassitt
HOU43%ML +104
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
BAL57%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+104 / -125HOU / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -102 / U -120
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total