MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / BAL 5HOUHouston Astros42%
BALBaltimore Orioles58%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterKai-Wei Teng
Model pickBAL moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterShane Baz
HOU42%ML +116
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
BAL58%ML -139
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+116 / -139HOU / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -116
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total