MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / BAL 5HOUHouston Astros42%
BALBaltimore Orioles58%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterKai-Wei Teng
Model pickBAL moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterShane Baz
HOU42%ML +116
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
BAL58%ML -139
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -139HOU / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -116
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total