MLB / mlb / live
ARI 4 / BAL 3ARIArizona Diamondbacks46%
BALBaltimore Orioles54%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMerrill Kelly
Model pickBAL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrevor Rogers
ARI46%ML +135
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
BAL54%ML -162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.8
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+135 / -162ARI / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.8O -118 / U -5
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total