MLB / mlb / live
SFG 6 / BAL 3SFGSan Francisco Giants36%
BALBaltimore Orioles64%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLanden Roupp
Model pickBAL moneyline64%Model production_v1
BALHome starterShane Baz
SFG36%ML +105
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
BAL64%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -125SFG / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+161)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total