MLB / mlb / live
TBR 7 / ATL 1TBRTampa Bay Rays48%
ATLAtlanta Braves52%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
ATLHome starterAJ Smith-ShawverConfirmed
TBR48%ML -103
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
ATL52%ML -115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Freddy PeraltaTBR starter / away
Projected K4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -111 fanduel / U -105 fanatics5 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.581%
O 3.564%
O 4.546%
O 5.530%
O 6.517%
O 7.59%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
AJ Smith-ShawverATL starter / home
Projected K3.7
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 fanduel / U +117 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.551%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-103 / -115TBR / ATL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-172)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total