MLB / mlb / live
MIA 1 / ATL 4MIAMiami Marlins45%
ATLAtlanta Braves55%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterEury PérezConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline55%Model 20260803_auto
ATLHome starterBryce ElderConfirmed
MIA45%ML +110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
ATL55%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eury PérezMIA starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 fanatics / U -110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 5.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.562%over
O 5.546%over
O 6.531%over
O 7.519%over
O 8.511%over
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Bryce ElderATL starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 betmgm / U +108 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%under
O 4.543%under
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130MIA / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total