MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals50%
ATLAtlanta Braves50%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterCade CavalliConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline50%Model 20260727_auto
ATLHome starterJR RitchieConfirmed
WSN50%ML +105
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
ATL50%ML -124
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Cade CavalliWSN starter / away
Projected K5.0
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.572%
O 4.555%
O 5.538%
O 6.524%
O 7.514%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Martín PérezATL starter / home
Projected K4.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.578%
O 3.560%
O 4.541%
O 5.525%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -124WSN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -102 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total