MLB / mlb / live
PIT 2 / ATL 3PITPittsburgh Pirates36%
ATLAtlanta Braves64%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterMason Montgomery
Model pickATL moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
ATLHome starterBryce Elder
PIT36%ML +128
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
ATL64%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+128 / -152PIT / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total