MLB / mlb / live
HOU 9 / OAK 0HOUHouston Astros52%
OAKOakland Athletics48%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterPeter LambertConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
OAKHome starterSeth JohnsonConfirmed
HOU52%ML -196
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
OAK48%ML +162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total11.1
Market total10.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Peter LambertHOU starter / away
Projected K3.3Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +126 draftkings / U -159 betonlineag4 books at this line
Model over 2.563%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%under
O 2.563%under
O 3.541%under
O 4.524%under
O 5.512%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Seth JohnsonOAK starter / home
Projected K2.8Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.575%over
O 2.552%under
O 3.530%under
O 4.515%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-196 / +162HOU / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -108 / U -113
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total