MLB / mlb / live
HOU 13 / OAK 2HOUHouston Astros51%
OAKOakland Athletics49%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterHayden WesneskiProbable
Model pickHOU moneyline51%Model 20260921_auto
OAKHome starterJack PerkinsConfirmed
HOU51%ML -168
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
OAK49%ML +140
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hayden WesneskiHOU starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 draftkings / U +112 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%over
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Jack PerkinsOAK starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -110 betmgm / U -106 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%over
O 7.510%over
O 8.55%over
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-168 / +140HOU / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-114)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -112 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total