MLB / mlb / live
BAL 8 / OAK 5BALBaltimore Orioles53%
OAKOakland Athletics47%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterChris BassittConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260824_auto
OAKHome starterJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
BAL53%ML -151
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
OAK47%ML +131
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.3
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Chris BassittBAL starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 fanatics / U -129 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 4.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Jeffrey SpringsOAK starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -110 betmgm / U -112 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%over
O 5.521%over
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-151 / +131BAL / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total