MLB / mlb / live
TBR 8 / OAK 4TBRTampa Bay Rays58%
OAKOakland Athletics42%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterDrew RasmussenConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline58%Model 20260810_auto
OAKHome starterJack PerkinsConfirmed
TBR58%ML -232
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
OAK42%ML +192
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total9.5
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Drew RasmussenTBR starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -150 bovada / U +122 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%under
O 4.563%under
O 5.547%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Jack PerkinsOAK starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 bovada / U -142 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%under
O 3.566%under
O 4.548%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-232 / +192TBR / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -120
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total