MLB / mlb / live
scheduledBOSBoston Red Sox55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterPatrick SandovalProbable
Model pickBOS moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterJacob LopezProbable
BOS55%ML -153
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
OAK45%ML +130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.7
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / away
Projected K4.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.578%
O 3.559%
O 4.541%
O 5.525%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jacob LopezOAK starter / home
Projected K3.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.570%
O 3.549%
O 4.531%
O 5.517%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-153 / +130BOS / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total