MLB / mlb / live
scheduledDETDetroit Tigers55%
OAKOakland Athletics45%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterCasey MizeProbable
Model pickDET moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
OAKHome starterJeffrey SpringsProbable
DET55%ML -152
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
OAK45%ML +128
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.4
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Casey MizeDET starter / away
Projected K4.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.571%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jeffrey SpringsOAK starter / home
Projected K4.1
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-152 / +128DET / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -120 / U +100
33 books31 ML24 run line22 total