MLB / mlb / live
LAA 7 / OAK 0LAALos Angeles Angels42%
OAKOakland Athletics58%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterWalbert UreñaProbable
Model pickOAK moneyline58%Model 20260616_auto
OAKHome starterJ.T. GinnProbable
LAA42%ML +135
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
OAK58%ML -161
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -145 betmgm / U +144 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 3.566%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.531%over
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
J.T. GinnOAK starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 fanduel / U -140 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 5.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.559%over
O 5.543%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+135 / -161LAA / OAK moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -108 / U -113
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total