MLB / mlb / live
LAA 0 / OAK 5LAALos Angeles Angels43%
OAKOakland Athletics57%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterRyan JohnsonProbable
Model pickOAK moneyline57%Model 20260616_auto
OAKHome starterGage JumpConfirmed
LAA43%ML +158
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
OAK57%ML -190
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.5
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / away
Projected K3.2Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -110 betmgm / U -120 betmgm1 book at this line
Model over 3.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%over
O 2.562%under
O 3.540%under
O 4.523%under
O 5.511%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Gage JumpOAK starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +108 betrivers / U -115 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+158 / -190LAA / OAK moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -115 / U -109
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total