MLB / mlb / live
MIL 5 / OAK 7MILMilwaukee Brewers52%
OAKOakland Athletics48%
at Las Vegas Ballpark
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterRobert Gasser
Model pickMIL moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
OAKHome starterJ.T. Ginn
MIL52%ML -110
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
OAK48%ML -110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#1
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap2.2 pts
MIL 41-23 vs OAK 31-35, MIL scoring 8.0 RPG vs 5.1. Market implies 52% MIL, model has 52.2%, tight convergence. Gasser stats missing (data_quality=full but all nulls), Ginn 3.2 IP season sample too small to trust 0.00 ERA. Model total 9.13 vs market 13.0 is 3.9 run gap—structural miss, likely park or pitcher data issue. Pass on total given uncertainty.
total far from market
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total13.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -110MIL / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context13.5O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total