MLB / mlb / live
SEA 9 / OAK 2SEASeattle Mariners53%
OAKOakland Athletics47%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSEA moneyline53%Model 20260414_1
OAKHome starterAaron Civale
SEA53%ML -115
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
OAK47%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-115 / -105SEA / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total