MLB / mlb / live
STL 6 / OAK 4STLSt. Louis Cardinals40%
OAKOakland Athletics60%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterAndre Pallante
Model pickOAK moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
OAKHome starterJeffrey Springs
STL40%ML +129
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
OAK60%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#7
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap2.2 pts
Away pitcher Pallante has null IP/ERA/K9/WHIP despite 10 starts marked—data integrity issue makes STL side unknowable. Springs has only 5.1 IP across 10 starts (0.5 IP/start avg), suggesting bulk/opener role rather than traditional starter. Model total 8.95 vs market 9.5 in extreme hitter park (PF 1.104) suggests under, but pitcher uncertainty too high for side confidence.
extreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.9
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+129 / -152STL / OAK moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total