MLB / mlb / live
CHC 0 / ARI 2CHCChicago Cubs59%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks41%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
ARIHome starterEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
CHC59%ML -118
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
ARI41%ML +100
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Matthew BoydCHC starter / away
Projected K3.5Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -130 bovada / U +117 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.567%over
O 3.546%over
O 4.528%over
O 5.515%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Eduardo RodriguezARI starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 betrivers / U -159 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%over
O 8.56%over
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-118 / +100CHC / ARI moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-161)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -101 / U -118
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total