MLB / mlb / live
SDP 9 / ARI 4SDPSan Diego Padres46%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks54%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRandy VásquezConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
ARIHome starterEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
SDP46%ML +104
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ARI54%ML -122
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Randy VásquezSDP starter / away
Projected K2.6Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +130 draftkings / U -145 betmgm4 books at this line
Model over 2.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.573%under
O 2.548%under
O 3.527%under
O 4.513%under
O 5.55%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Eduardo RodriguezARI starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -145 betmgm / U +142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%under
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+104 / -122SDP / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -104 / U -116
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total