MLB / mlb / live
COL 1 / ARI 2COLColorado Rockies37%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks63%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterZach Agnos
Model pickARI moneyline63%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterEduardo Rodriguez
COL37%ML +177
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
ARI63%ML -210
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time2.1 pts
Rodriguez has 5.0 IP across 10 starts (0.5 IP/start avg) — clearly injured/unavailable most of season. Agnos has 1.1 IP total. Both pitcher lines are statistical artifacts, not actionable data. Model is operating on team aggregates in a pitcher-dependent sport. Cannot form a view without real starter context.
ace matchup
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+177 / -210COL / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total