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CHW 7 / ARI 11
CHWChicago White Sox40%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks60%

at Chase Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
CHWAway starterAnthony Kay
Model pickARI moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterEduardo Rodriguez
CHW40%ML +129
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
ARI60%ML -155

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#11
Total lean · analyst-timeUnder
Model-market gap · analyst-time1.7 pts

Rodriguez's 5.0 IP over 10 starts is absurdly low (~0.5 IP/start); stat line is untrustworthy. Kay at 4.2 IP over 9 starts is similarly broken. Without usable pitcher data, can't validate model's 60.2% on ARI vs market's 58.5%. Total leans under market 9.0 given data noise.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+129 / -155CHW / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -118 / U -102
31 books29 ML25 run line22 total