MLB / mlb / live
CHW 11 / ARI 5CHWChicago White Sox42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterSean Burke
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterMerrill Kelly
CHW42%ML +132
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
ARI58%ML -156
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+132 / -156CHW / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+126)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -111 / U -110
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total