MLB / mlb / live
TOR 3 / ARI 6TORToronto Blue Jays42%
ARIArizona Diamondbacks58%
at Chase Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterBraydon Fisher
Model pickARI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
ARIHome starterMichael Soroka
TOR42%ML +115
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
ARI58%ML -138
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+115 / -138TOR / ARI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+146)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -1
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total