MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-09-30 / 4 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-09-30
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+128
HOUHouston Astros-152
Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline
CHWSean BurkeConfirmed
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (56.2%) sits just under the market's 58.2% implied on HOU, so no side comparison; the mismatch flag is real since CHW has the better record (...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-114
ATLAtlanta Braves-104
Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.62 total is 1.6 runs above the 7.0 market line, hard to justify with Sanchez at 2.91 ERA/10.04 K9 and Truist at a 0.915 park factor plus...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+118
NYYNew York Yankees-139
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
BOSSonny GrayProbable
NYYMax FriedProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total7.6
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (54.4%) and market (55.8%) essentially agree on NYY, so no comparison to claim. Fried (2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) vs Gray (2.72 ERA) in a 0.933 par...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+123
SDPSan Diego Padres-147
Pick Probability52%SDP moneyline
CHCKevin GausmanProbable
SDPNick PivettaProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-09-30

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

4 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
CHWChicago White Sox+128
HOUHouston Astros-152
Pick Probability56%HOU moneyline
CHWSean BurkeConfirmed
HOUHunter BrownConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.5
Projected Total8.5
Margin Context0.4
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model (56.2%) sits just under the market's 58.2% implied on HOU, so no side comparison; the mismatch flag is real since CHW has the better record (...

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-114
ATLAtlanta Braves-104
Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
ATLTyler MahleConfirmed
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total9.0
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Model's 8.62 total is 1.6 runs above the 7.0 market line, hard to justify with Sanchez at 2.91 ERA/10.04 K9 and Truist at a 0.915 park factor plus...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox+118
NYYNew York Yankees-139
Pick Probability54%NYY moneyline
BOSSonny GrayProbable
NYYMax FriedProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total6.5
Projected Total7.6
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
NYY / lean confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (54.4%) and market (55.8%) essentially agree on NYY, so no comparison to claim. Fried (2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) vs Gray (2.72 ERA) in a 0.933 par...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs+123
SDPSan Diego Padres-147
Pick Probability52%SDP moneyline
CHCKevin GausmanProbable
SDPNick PivettaProbable
Market OddsClosing odds
Market Total7.0
Projected Total8.1
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
SDP moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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