MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-07-27 / 12 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-07-27
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-186
MIAMiami Marlins+155
Pick Probability56%PHI moneyline
PHIZack WheelerProbable
MIATyler PhillipsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
PHI / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Wheeler (2.16 ERA, 10.53 K/9, 0.88 WHIP in 100 IP) is having an elite season against Miami's weak 2.7 RPG offense. Market at -178 implies 64% PHI;...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+140
CINCincinnati Reds-165
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLESlade CecconiProbable
CINChase BurnsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
CIN / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has CIN at 59.7% vs model's CLE 55.1%, a 4.6pp gap favoring home. Burns' 2.42 ERA and 10.37 K/9 over 107.7 IP is elite; Cecconi's 4.60 ERA a...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-110
LAALos Angeles Angels-109
Pick Probability55%HOU moneyline
HOUTatsuya ImaiProbable
LAAWalbert UreñaProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model sees HOU 55% vs market 51% — minimal comparison. Ureña's 2.78 ERA in 87 IP is legitimate but LAA offense (.860 OPS) creates run support varia...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-175
OAKOakland Athletics+145
Pick Probability55%BOS moneyline
BOSPayton TolleProbable
OAKJack PerkinsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total10.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.2%) and market (61.6% BOS) both favor Boston but market is more confident. BOS offense (.736 OPS, 5.3 RPG) significantly stronger than OA...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability55%DET moneyline
BALKyle BradishProbable
DETKeider MonteroProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-07-27
Rank#1
PHI at MIAPhiladelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
AI Analyst PickPHIstrong confidence
Agrees with modelPHI / 56%Model pick probability

Wheeler (2.16 ERA, 10.53 K/9, 0.88 WHIP in 100 IP) is having an elite season against Miami's weak 2.7 RPG offense. Market at -178 implies 64% PHI; model at 55.9% is un...

Rank#2
BOS at OAKBoston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics
AI Analyst PickBOSstandard confidence
Agrees with modelBOS / 55%Model pick probability

Model (55.2%) and market (61.6% BOS) both favor Boston but market is more confident. BOS offense (.736 OPS, 5.3 RPG) significantly stronger than OAK (.512 OPS, 4.7 RPG...

Rank#3
CLE at CINCleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds
AI Analyst PickCINstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelCLE / 55%Model pick probability

Market has CIN at 59.7% vs model's CLE 55.1%, a 4.6pp gap favoring home. Burns' 2.42 ERA and 10.37 K/9 over 107.7 IP is elite; Cecconi's 4.60 ERA and 1.45 WHIP is expl...

Rank#4
HOU at LAAHouston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
AI Analyst PickHOUlean confidence
Agrees with modelHOU / 55%Model pick probability

Model sees HOU 55% vs market 51% — minimal comparison. Ureña's 2.78 ERA in 87 IP is legitimate but LAA offense (.860 OPS) creates run support variance. Imai's 5.59 ERA...

Rank#5
ATL at NYMAtlanta Braves at New York Mets
AI Analyst PickATLlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelNYM / 53%Model pick probability

Model likes NYM at 53% but market has ATL favored at 52%. Thornton's 1.93 ERA over 23 IP is strong but Pérez is solid at 3.38 over 85 IP. ATL's 6.0 RPG offense vs NYM'...

Rank#6
SEA at TEXSeattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
AI Analyst PickSEAlean confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 54%Model pick probability

Model has SEA 54.2%, market implies 55.8% — tight convergence. Kirby's 3.57 ERA vs Rocker's 4.13 ERA supports Seattle slight comparison. Model total 9.27 vs market 8.0...

Rank#7
ARI at PITArizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
AI Analyst PickARIlean confidence
Agrees with modelARI / 54%Model pick probability

Model likes ARI at 54.2%, market splits nearly even at 52% PIT. Both starters mediocre (Keller 4.90 ERA, Kelly 5.12 ERA) in hitter-friendly PNC Park (PF 1.055). Model...

Rank#8
TOR at WSNToronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals
AI Analyst PickWSNlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelTOR / 51%Model pick probability

Market has WSN at 55.6%, model essentially coin-flip at 50.8% TOR. Scherzer's 10.23 ERA over 22 IP signals decline or injury; WSN's 7.1 RPG offense should capitalize....

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

12 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-186
MIAMiami Marlins+155
Pick Probability56%PHI moneyline
PHIZack WheelerProbable
MIATyler PhillipsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total7.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context1.2
AI Analyst
PHI / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Wheeler (2.16 ERA, 10.53 K/9, 0.88 WHIP in 100 IP) is having an elite season against Miami's weak 2.7 RPG offense. Market at -178 implies 64% PHI;...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CLECleveland Guardians+140
CINCincinnati Reds-165
Pick Probability55%CLE moneyline
CLESlade CecconiProbable
CINChase BurnsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
CIN / standard confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has CIN at 59.7% vs model's CLE 55.1%, a 4.6pp gap favoring home. Burns' 2.42 ERA and 10.37 K/9 over 107.7 IP is elite; Cecconi's 4.60 ERA a...

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros-110
LAALos Angeles Angels-109
Pick Probability55%HOU moneyline
HOUTatsuya ImaiProbable
LAAWalbert UreñaProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.8
Margin Context0.8
AI Analyst
HOU / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model sees HOU 55% vs market 51% — minimal comparison. Ureña's 2.78 ERA in 87 IP is legitimate but LAA offense (.860 OPS) creates run support varia...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BOSBoston Red Sox-175
OAKOakland Athletics+145
Pick Probability55%BOS moneyline
BOSPayton TolleProbable
OAKJack PerkinsProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total10.1
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
BOS / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (55.2%) and market (61.6% BOS) both favor Boston but market is more confident. BOS offense (.736 OPS, 5.3 RPG) significantly stronger than OA...

MLBMoneyline
Open
BALBaltimore Orioles+100
DETDetroit Tigers-120
Pick Probability55%DET moneyline
BALKyle BradishProbable
DETKeider MonteroProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.9
Margin Context0.1
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-134
TEXTexas Rangers+112
Pick Probability54%SEA moneyline
SEAGeorge KirbyConfirmed
TEXKumar RockerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
SEA / lean confidence / Rank 6 / Agrees with model

Model has SEA 54.2%, market implies 55.8% — tight convergence. Kirby's 3.57 ERA vs Rocker's 4.13 ERA supports Seattle slight comparison. Model tota...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ARIArizona Diamondbacks0
PITPittsburgh Pirates-118
Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline
ARIMerrill KellyProbable
PITMitch KellerProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total10.0
Margin Context0.5
AI Analyst
ARI / lean confidence / Rank 7 / Agrees with model

Model likes ARI at 54.2%, market splits nearly even at 52% PIT. Both starters mediocre (Keller 4.90 ERA, Kelly 5.12 ERA) in hitter-friendly PNC Par...

MLBMoneyline
Open
ATLAtlanta Braves-110
NYMNew York Mets-108
Pick Probability53%NYM moneyline
ATLMartín PérezProbable
NYMZac ThorntonProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.1
AI Analyst
ATL / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model likes NYM at 53% but market has ATL favored at 52%. Thornton's 1.93 ERA over 23 IP is strong but Pérez is solid at 3.38 over 85 IP. ATL's 6.0...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-147
CHWChicago White Sox+124
Pick Probability51%NYY moneyline
NYYMax FriedProbable
CHWNoah SchultzProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.4
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
TORToronto Blue Jays+104
WSNWashington Nationals-121
Pick Probability51%TOR moneyline
TORMax ScherzerProbable
WSNAndrew AlvarezProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total10.0
Projected Total9.6
Margin Context0.3
AI Analyst
WSN / lean confidence / Rank 8 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has WSN at 55.6%, model essentially coin-flip at 50.8% TOR. Scherzer's 10.23 ERA over 22 IP signals decline or injury; WSN's 7.1 RPG offense...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-121
STLSt. Louis Cardinals+102
Pick Probability51%CHC moneyline
CHCDavid PetersonProbable
STLStarter TBD
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.5
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
CHC moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
MILMilwaukee Brewers-136
SFGSan Francisco Giants+115
Pick Probability50%MIL moneyline
MILBrandon SproatProbable
SFGTyler MahleProbable
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total10.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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