Results

Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.

Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.

2026-10-25 to 2026-11-07
Range
Sport
Market
Record1-23 graded / 0 pending
Actual Win Rate33.3%0 pushes / 2 voids
Avg Pick Probability53.4%Expected wins: 1.6
Calibration Gap-20.0 ptsActual win rate minus avg probability

MLB Moneyline

Probability Buckets

52.5%-55.0%1-2 / small sample
33.3%avg 53.4%
-20.0 pts3 picks

MLB moneyline overlay

AI Analyst Results

AI Analyst Record2-13 graded / 0 pending
AI Analyst Win Rate66.7%3 tracked picks
Same-Game Compare2-1Analyst won/model lost vs analyst lost/model won
Model Flips31 away from wins / 2 away from losses

Agreement

Disagrees with base model2-1 / small sample
66.7%3 graded

Confidence Labels

Standard2 tracked / small sample
50.0%1-1
Lean1 tracked / small sample
100.0%1-0

Rank Bands

Same-Game Outcomes

AI Analyst win rate66.7%
Base model win rate33.3%
Both won / both lost0 / 0
Compared games3

Pick ledger

Tracked Picks

sharps.gg