Results

Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.

Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.

2026-09-07 to 2026-09-07
Range
Sport
Market
Record6-511 graded / 0 pending
Actual Win Rate54.5%0 pushes / 0 voids
Avg Pick Probability55.9%Expected wins: 6.2
Calibration Gap-1.4 ptsActual win rate minus avg probability

MLB Moneyline

Probability Buckets

50.0%-52.5%0-1 / small sample
0.0%avg 51.6%
-51.6 pts1 picks
52.5%-55.0%2-2 / small sample
50.0%avg 54.0%
-4.0 pts4 picks
55.0%-57.5%3-0 / small sample
100.0%avg 56.9%
+43.1 pts3 picks
57.5%-60.0%0-2 / small sample
0.0%avg 58.1%
-58.1 pts2 picks
60.0%-62.5%1-0 / small sample
100.0%avg 61.1%
+38.9 pts1 picks

MLB moneyline overlay

AI Analyst Results

AI Analyst Record5-05 graded / 0 pending
AI Analyst Win Rate100.0%5 tracked picks
Same-Game Compare2-0Analyst won/model lost vs analyst lost/model won
Model Flips20 away from wins / 2 away from losses

Agreement

Agrees with base model3-0 / small sample
100.0%3 graded
Disagrees with base model2-0 / small sample
100.0%2 graded

Confidence Labels

Standard2 tracked / small sample
100.0%2-0
Lean3 tracked / small sample
100.0%3-0

Rank Bands

Rank 11 tracked / small sample
100.0%1-0
Ranks 2-32 tracked / small sample
100.0%2-0
Ranks 4-52 tracked / small sample
100.0%2-0

Same-Game Outcomes

AI Analyst win rate100.0%
Base model win rate60.0%
Both won / both lost3 / 0
Compared games5

Pick ledger

Tracked Picks

sharps.gg