MLB real data

MLB moneyline board.

Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.

MLB real / 2026-06-25 / 8 picks

Top Picks Today

Strongest current spots

2026-06-25
#1MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-150
PITPittsburgh Pirates+125
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
SEABryce MillerConfirmed
PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SEA / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Miller's 1.58 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in 40 IP is elite; Chandler's 4.62 ERA in 74 IP is established mediocrity. SEA offense at 1.3 RPG is catastrophical...

#2MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+114
SFGSan Francisco Giants-136
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
SFGLanden RouppConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
OAK / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model favors OAK 58% vs market's 45% (large disagreement flag). SFG offense is historically weak (2.1 RPG, .388 OPS over 79 games). Oracle Park fac...

#3MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+121
TORToronto Blue Jays-145
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
TORKevin GausmanConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model has TEX 58.3%, market has TOR 57.9% — near coin flip. Model leans TEX despite TOR's better record and offense (1.7 vs 1.3 RPG, .786 vs .698 O...

#4MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+123
TBRTampa Bay Rays-147
Pick Probability53%KCR moneyline
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
TBRCasey LeguminaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has TBR -130 (55.4% implied), model has KCR 53.4%. Model is wrong-way on this one. TBR offense (4.5 RPG, .802 OPS) vs KCR (3.1 RPG, .518 OPS...

#5MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-148
BOSBoston Red Sox+125
Pick Probability53%NYY moneyline
NYYCam SchlittlerConfirmed
BOSConnelly EarlyConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

AI Analyst Today

Ranked MLB analyst slate

2026-06-25
Rank#1
SEA at PITSeattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates
AI Analyst PickSEAstrong confidence
Agrees with modelSEA / 58%Model pick probability

Miller's 1.58 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in 40 IP is elite; Chandler's 4.62 ERA in 74 IP is established mediocrity. SEA offense at 1.3 RPG is catastrophically bad but the pitch...

Rank#2
PHI at WSNPhiladelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
AI Analyst PickPHIstandard confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelWSN / 52%Model pick probability

Model has WSN at 51.7% but market implies PHI 62.7%—a 14.5pp gap favoring PHI. Sánchez's 1.80 ERA over 105 IP is elite and sustainable with 10.37 K/9. Cavalli at 4.07...

Rank#3
OAK at SFGOakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants
AI Analyst PickOAKlean confidence
Agrees with modelOAK / 58%Model pick probability

Model favors OAK 58% vs market's 45% (large disagreement flag). SFG offense is historically weak (2.1 RPG, .388 OPS over 79 games). Oracle Park factor 0.906 suppresses...

Rank#4
TEX at TORTexas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays
AI Analyst PickTEXlean confidence
Agrees with modelTEX / 58%Model pick probability

Model has TEX 58.3%, market has TOR 57.9% — near coin flip. Model leans TEX despite TOR's better record and offense (1.7 vs 1.3 RPG, .786 vs .698 OPS). Both starters s...

Rank#5
KCR at TBRKansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays
AI Analyst PickTBRlean confidence
Analyst disagrees with base modelKCR / 53%Model pick probability

Market has TBR -130 (55.4% implied), model has KCR 53.4%. Model is wrong-way on this one. TBR offense (4.5 RPG, .802 OPS) vs KCR (3.1 RPG, .518 OPS) is stark. Lean hom...

MLB Board

Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context

8 shown
MLBMoneyline
Open
SEASeattle Mariners-150
PITPittsburgh Pirates+125
Pick Probability58%SEA moneyline
SEABryce MillerConfirmed
PITBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.1
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
SEA / strong confidence / Rank 1 / Agrees with model

Miller's 1.58 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in 40 IP is elite; Chandler's 4.62 ERA in 74 IP is established mediocrity. SEA offense at 1.3 RPG is catastrophical...

MLBMoneyline
Open
OAKOakland Athletics+114
SFGSan Francisco Giants-136
Pick Probability58%OAK moneyline
OAKJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
SFGLanden RouppConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.9
AI Analyst
OAK / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Agrees with model

Model favors OAK 58% vs market's 45% (large disagreement flag). SFG offense is historically weak (2.1 RPG, .388 OPS over 79 games). Oracle Park fac...

MLBMoneyline
Open
TEXTexas Rangers+121
TORToronto Blue Jays-145
Pick Probability58%TEX moneyline
TEXMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
TORKevin GausmanConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.5
Margin Context1.1
AI Analyst
TEX / lean confidence / Rank 4 / Agrees with model

Model has TEX 58.3%, market has TOR 57.9% — near coin flip. Model leans TEX despite TOR's better record and offense (1.7 vs 1.3 RPG, .786 vs .698 O...

MLBMoneyline
Open
KCRKansas City Royals+123
TBRTampa Bay Rays-147
Pick Probability53%KCR moneyline
KCRSeth LugoConfirmed
TBRCasey LeguminaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.7
AI Analyst
TBR / lean confidence / Rank 5 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Market has TBR -130 (55.4% implied), model has KCR 53.4%. Model is wrong-way on this one. TBR offense (4.5 RPG, .802 OPS) vs KCR (3.1 RPG, .518 OPS...

MLBMoneyline
Open
NYYNew York Yankees-148
BOSBoston Red Sox+125
Pick Probability53%NYY moneyline
NYYCam SchlittlerConfirmed
BOSConnelly EarlyConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.0
Projected Total9.7
Margin Context0.6
Model pick
NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
HOUHouston Astros+102
DETDetroit Tigers-122
Pick Probability52%DET moneyline
HOUTatsuya ImaiConfirmed
DETTroy MeltonConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total9.0
Projected Total9.4
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
DET moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneyline
Open
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies-181
WSNWashington Nationals+150
Pick Probability52%WSN moneyline
PHICristopher SánchezConfirmed
WSNCade CavalliConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.3
Margin Context0.2
AI Analyst
PHI / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model has WSN at 51.7% but market implies PHI 62.7%—a 14.5pp gap favoring PHI. Sánchez's 1.80 ERA over 105 IP is elite and sustainable with 10.37 K...

MLBMoneyline
Open
CHCChicago Cubs-110
NYMNew York Mets-108
Pick Probability52%NYM moneyline
CHCMatthew BoydConfirmed
NYMFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
Market OddsPregame
Market Total8.5
Projected Total9.2
Margin Context0.2
Model pick
NYM moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

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