Results

Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.

Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.

2026-06-12 to 2026-07-11

Range

Yesterday 3D 7D 14D 30D Lifetime

Sport

Market

Moneyline Props

Record199-190389 graded / 16 pending

Actual Win Rate51.2%0 pushes / 0 voids

Avg Pick Probability55.4%Expected wins: 215.6

Calibration Gap-4.3 ptsActual win rate minus avg probability

MLB Moneyline

Probability Buckets

50.0%-52.5%32-32

50.0%avg 51.2%

-1.2 pts64 picks

52.5%-55.0%68-53

56.2%avg 53.4%

+2.8 pts121 picks

55.0%-57.5%39-47

45.3%avg 56.0%

-10.6 pts86 picks

57.5%-60.0%39-46

45.9%avg 58.2%

-12.3 pts85 picks

60.0%-62.5%13-10

56.5%avg 61.4%

-4.9 pts23 picks

62.5%-65.0%5-1 / small sample

83.3%avg 64.1%

+19.3 pts6 picks

65.0%-70.0%2-1 / small sample

66.7%avg 66.1%

+0.5 pts3 picks

70.0%-100.0%1-0 / small sample

100.0%avg 72.9%

+27.1 pts1 picks

MLB moneyline overlay

AI Analyst Results

AI Analyst Record122-79201 graded / 8 pending

AI Analyst Win Rate60.7%209 tracked picks

Same-Game Compare54-35Analyst won/model lost vs analyst lost/model won

Model Flips9236 away from wins / 56 away from losses

Agreement

Agrees with base model67-42

61.5%109 graded

Disagrees with base model55-37

59.8%92 graded

Confidence Labels

Strong10 tracked

40.0%4-6

Standard25 tracked

73.9%17-6

Lean174 tracked

60.1%101-67

Rank Bands

Rank 130 tracked

58.6%17-12

Ranks 2-357 tracked

63.6%35-20

Ranks 4-551 tracked

67.3%33-16

Rank 6+71 tracked

54.4%37-31

Same-Game Outcomes

AI Analyst win rate60.7%

Base model win rate51.2%

Both won / both lost68 / 44

Compared games201

ARI @ LADJul 11, 7:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: ARI moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline60.7%

pendingModel pending

ATL @ STLJul 11, 5:15 PM MDT / lean / rank 8

AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline52.7%

pendingModel pending

HOU @ TEXJul 11, 5:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: HOU moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: TEX moneyline56.0%

pendingModel pending

PHI @ DETJul 11, 4:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: PHI moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: PHI moneyline57.1%

pendingModel pending

CLE @ MIAJul 11, 2:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: MIA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline59.8%

pendingModel pending

MIL @ PITJul 11, 2:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 7

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: PIT moneyline52.7%

pendingModel pending

NYY @ WSNJul 11, 2:05 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: NYY moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: WSN moneyline52.7%

pendingModel pending

LAA @ MINJul 11, 12:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 2

AI Analyst: MIN moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIN moneyline60.0%

pendingModel pending

ARI @ LADJul 10, 8:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline60.5%

LostModel Lost

ATL @ STLJul 10, 6:15 PM MDT / standard / rank 2

AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline52.7%

LostModel Won

LAA @ MINJul 10, 6:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 10

AI Analyst: MIN moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: LAA moneyline51.9%

LostModel Won

OAK @ CHWJul 10, 5:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: CHW moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CHW moneyline60.7%

WonModel Won

BOS @ NYMJul 10, 5:15 PM MDT / lean / rank 7

AI Analyst: BOS moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: NYM moneyline50.0%

WonModel Lost

CHC @ CINJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 9

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: CIN moneyline52.7%

LostModel Won

CLE @ MIAJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: MIA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline52.7%

LostModel Lost

SEA @ TBRJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 8

AI Analyst: TBR moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: SEA moneyline57.1%

WonModel Lost

KCR @ BALJul 10, 5:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: BAL moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: BAL moneyline50.0%

WonModel Won

NYY @ WSNJul 10, 4:45 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: NYY moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: WSN moneyline56.0%

WonModel Lost

LAA @ TEXJul 9, 6:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: LAA moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: TEX moneyline59.8%

LostModel Won

MIL @ STLJul 9, 5:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIL moneyline51.5%

WonModel Won

SEA @ MIAJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline53.2%

LostModel Won

CLE @ MINJul 9, 11:40 AM MDT / lean / rank 2

AI Analyst: CLE moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIN moneyline56.0%

WonModel Lost

CHC @ BALJul 9, 11:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CHC moneyline51.9%

LostModel Lost

ATL @ PITJul 9, 10:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: PIT moneyline55.9%

WonModel Lost

COL @ LADJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 1

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline66.5%

WonModel Won

Pick ledger

Tracked Picks

ARI @ LADJul 11, 7:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline60.7%

pendingNo score yet

TOR @ SDPJul 11, 6:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline60.7%

pendingNo score yet

ATL @ STLJul 11, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

CHC @ CINJul 11, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHC moneyline51.9%

pendingNo score yet

KCR @ BALJul 11, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

HOU @ TEXJul 11, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline56.0%

pendingNo score yet

PHI @ DETJul 11, 4:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

PHI moneyline57.1%

pendingNo score yet

CLE @ MIAJul 11, 2:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline59.8%

pendingNo score yet

BOS @ NYMJul 11, 2:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

SEA @ TBRJul 11, 2:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline50.6%

pendingNo score yet

MIL @ PITJul 11, 2:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

COL @ SFGJul 11, 2:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline60.7%

pendingNo score yet

NYY @ WSNJul 11, 2:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

WSN moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

OAK @ CHWJul 11, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline60.0%

pendingNo score yet

LAA @ MINJul 11, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline60.0%

pendingNo score yet

MIL @ PITJul 11, 10:05 AM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline50.0%

pendingNo score yet

COL @ SFGJul 10, 8:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline52.7%

ARI @ LADJul 10, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline60.5%

TOR @ SDPJul 10, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline56.0%

ATL @ STLJul 10, 6:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline52.7%

LAA @ MINJul 10, 6:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAA moneyline51.9%

HOU @ TEXJul 10, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline56.0%

OAK @ CHWJul 10, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline60.7%

BOS @ NYMJul 10, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline50.0%

CHC @ CINJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline52.7%

CLE @ MIAJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline52.7%

SEA @ TBRJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

SEA moneyline57.1%

KCR @ BALJul 10, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline50.0%

NYY @ WSNJul 10, 4:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

WSN moneyline56.0%

PHI @ DETJul 10, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

DET moneyline53.6%

COL @ SFGJul 9, 7:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline56.0%

ARI @ SDPJul 9, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline56.0%

LAA @ TEXJul 9, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline59.8%

MIL @ STLJul 9, 5:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIL moneyline51.5%

PHI @ CINJul 9, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline57.6%

OAK @ DETJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

DET moneyline52.7%

SEA @ MIAJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline53.2%

BOS @ CHWJul 9, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline53.2%

CLE @ MINJul 9, 11:40 AM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline56.0%

CHC @ BALJul 9, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

CHC moneyline51.9%

KCR @ NYMJul 9, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline53.2%

NYY @ TBRJul 9, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline57.6%

ATL @ PITJul 9, 10:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline55.9%

COL @ LADJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline66.5%

ARI @ SDPJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline50.0%

LAA @ TEXJul 8, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline60.7%

MIL @ STLJul 8, 5:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline51.4%

BOS @ CHWJul 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline59.8%

CLE @ MINJul 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline50.0%

PHI @ CINJul 8, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline62.0%

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