Results

Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.

Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.

2026-08-10 to 2026-09-08

Range

Yesterday 3D 7D 14D 30D Lifetime

Sport

Market

Moneyline Props

Record206-197403 graded / 1 pending

Actual Win Rate51.1%0 pushes / 0 voids

Avg Pick Probability55.6%Expected wins: 224.1

Calibration Gap-4.5 ptsActual win rate minus avg probability

MLB Moneyline

Probability Buckets

50.0%-52.5%32-33

49.2%avg 50.9%

-1.7 pts65 picks

52.5%-55.0%67-76

46.9%avg 53.6%

-6.7 pts143 picks

55.0%-57.5%43-43

50.0%avg 56.2%

-6.2 pts86 picks

57.5%-60.0%26-24

52.0%avg 58.6%

-6.6 pts50 picks

60.0%-62.5%25-9

73.5%avg 60.9%

+12.6 pts34 picks

62.5%-65.0%8-9

47.1%avg 63.0%

-15.9 pts17 picks

65.0%-70.0%5-3 / small sample

62.5%avg 66.9%

-4.4 pts8 picks

MLB moneyline overlay

AI Analyst Results

AI Analyst Record123-87210 graded / 1 pending

AI Analyst Win Rate58.6%211 tracked picks

Same-Game Compare49-28Analyst won/model lost vs analyst lost/model won

Model Flips8030 away from wins / 50 away from losses

Agreement

Agrees with base model74-56

56.9%130 graded

Disagrees with base model49-31

61.3%80 graded

Confidence Labels

Strong3 tracked / small sample

66.7%2-1

Standard150 tracked

58.7%88-62

Lean58 tracked

57.9%33-24

Rank Bands

Rank 129 tracked

58.6%17-12

Ranks 2-358 tracked

67.2%39-19

Ranks 4-552 tracked

50.0%26-26

Rank 6+69 tracked

58.8%40-28

Same-Game Outcomes

AI Analyst win rate58.6%

Base model win rate48.6%

Both won / both lost74 / 59

Compared games210

CIN @ LADSep 8, 8:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 2

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline57.6%

WonModel Won

STL @ SFGSep 8, 7:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 7

AI Analyst: SFG moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline54.1%

WonModel Lost

WSN @ SDPSep 8, 7:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 4

AI Analyst: SDP moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: SDP moneyline61.2%

WonModel Won

TEX @ SEASep 8, 7:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 10

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: SEA moneyline56.2%

pendingModel pending

ARI @ KCRSep 8, 5:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 9

AI Analyst: KCR moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: KCR moneyline50.1%

LostModel Lost

CHC @ MILSep 8, 5:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 3

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIL moneyline57.6%

WonModel Won

COL @ NYYSep 8, 5:05 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: NYY moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: NYY moneyline61.1%

WonModel Won

LAA @ BOSSep 8, 4:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 8

AI Analyst: BOS moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: BOS moneyline61.2%

LostModel Lost

MIN @ DETSep 8, 4:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 5

AI Analyst: DET moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIN moneyline54.1%

LostModel Won

NYM @ MIASep 8, 4:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 6

AI Analyst: MIA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline50.2%

LostModel Lost

STL @ SFGSep 7, 6:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: SFG moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline58.1%

WonModel Lost

CHC @ MILSep 7, 12:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 2

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: CHC moneyline51.6%

WonModel Lost

CLE @ BALSep 7, 11:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: BAL moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: BAL moneyline57.2%

WonModel Won

LAA @ BOSSep 7, 11:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: BOS moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: BOS moneyline54.6%

WonModel Won

ATL @ PHISep 7, 11:05 AM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: PHI moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: PHI moneyline61.1%

WonModel Won

WSN @ LADSep 6, 8:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 5

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline62.5%

WonModel Won

MIN @ CHWSep 6, 4:20 PM MDT / standard / rank 6

AI Analyst: CHW moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CHW moneyline64.9%

WonModel Won

NYY @ SDPSep 6, 2:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: NYY moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: NYY moneyline56.8%

LostModel Lost

OAK @ SEASep 6, 2:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 3

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: SEA moneyline60.4%

WonModel Won

TOR @ KCRSep 6, 12:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 8

AI Analyst: TOR moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: KCR moneyline50.2%

LostModel Won

DET @ CLESep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / standard / rank 2

AI Analyst: CLE moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CLE moneyline62.5%

WonModel Won

CHC @ MIASep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / standard / rank 7

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CHC moneyline55.1%

LostModel Lost

SFG @ NYMSep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / lean / rank 9

AI Analyst: NYM moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: NYM moneyline60.4%

WonModel Won

LAA @ PITSep 6, 11:35 AM MDT / standard / rank 4

AI Analyst: PIT moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: PIT moneyline60.4%

WonModel Won

OAK @ SEASep 5, 7:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 3

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: SEA moneyline60.4%

LostModel Lost

Pick ledger

Tracked Picks

CIN @ LADSep 8, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline57.6%

STL @ SFGSep 8, 7:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline54.1%

TOR @ OAKSep 8, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

TOR moneyline54.1%

WSN @ SDPSep 8, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline61.2%

TEX @ SEASep 8, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SEA moneyline56.2%

pending10-5

PIT @ CHWSep 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline57.2%

ARI @ KCRSep 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

KCR moneyline50.1%

CHC @ MILSep 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIL moneyline57.6%

TBR @ ATLSep 8, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

ATL moneyline54.2%

COL @ NYYSep 8, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYY moneyline61.1%

LAA @ BOSSep 8, 4:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

BOS moneyline61.2%

MIN @ DETSep 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline54.1%

NYM @ MIASep 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline50.2%

HOU @ PHISep 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

PHI moneyline57.2%

CLE @ BALSep 8, 4:35 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline57.2%

TOR @ OAKSep 7, 8:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TOR moneyline58.1%

CIN @ LADSep 7, 7:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline56.2%

STL @ SFGSep 7, 6:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline58.1%

WSN @ SDPSep 7, 3:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline57.2%

MIN @ DETSep 7, 1:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

DET moneyline54.2%

ARI @ KCRSep 7, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

KCR moneyline53.4%

CHC @ MILSep 7, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHC moneyline51.6%

CLE @ BALSep 7, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline57.2%

LAA @ BOSSep 7, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

BOS moneyline54.6%

NYM @ MIASep 7, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline53.7%

ATL @ PHISep 7, 11:05 AM MDT / Moneyline

PHI moneyline61.1%

WSN @ LADSep 6, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline62.5%

MIN @ CHWSep 6, 4:20 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline64.9%

NYY @ SDPSep 6, 2:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYY moneyline56.8%

OAK @ SEASep 6, 2:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

SEA moneyline60.4%

STL @ COLSep 6, 1:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline50.5%

TBR @ TEXSep 6, 12:35 PM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline56.8%

ARI @ HOUSep 6, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

ARI moneyline50.5%

TOR @ KCRSep 6, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

KCR moneyline50.2%

DET @ CLESep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / Moneyline

CLE moneyline62.5%

CHC @ MIASep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / Moneyline

CHC moneyline55.1%

SFG @ NYMSep 6, 11:40 AM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline60.4%

BOS @ BALSep 6, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

BOS moneyline50.5%

LAA @ PITSep 6, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline60.4%

ATL @ PHISep 6, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

ATL moneyline51.3%

MIL @ CINSep 6, 10:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

MIL moneyline50.5%

OAK @ SEASep 5, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SEA moneyline60.4%

WSN @ LADSep 5, 7:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline60.4%

STL @ COLSep 5, 6:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline56.8%

ARI @ HOUSep 5, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

ARI moneyline51.3%

NYY @ SDPSep 5, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYY moneyline50.5%

MIN @ CHWSep 5, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline54.0%

TOR @ KCRSep 5, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

KCR moneyline53.4%

BOS @ BALSep 5, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline54.0%

TBR @ TEXSep 5, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline55.1%

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